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Thursday wasn’t about what had happened.

Thursday, the day after the Fed’s hold, trading desks split their attention across two entirely separate countdown clocks converging on the very next day: a partial government shutdown deadline at midnight, and a widely expected Fed chair announcement that analysts had been anticipating for weeks.

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The rate didn’t move.

Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee left interest rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75 percent, ending 2025’s streak of three consecutive cuts and marking the first genuine pause of the easing cycle — a decision markets had priced as close to certain going in, with CME FedWatch showing better than

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