Dec 19, 2025 · 5 min read
Friday marked the fourth and final “quadruple witching” of 2025 — the quarterly expiration of stock options, index options, index futures, and single-stock futures all landing on the same trading session, a mechanical event that reliably produces some of the heaviest and most volatile volume of any
Dec 18, 2025 · 6 min read
Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics finally published the November Consumer Price Index — the first full inflation reading in over two months, arriving with an asterisk large enough to undercut its own usefulness: October’s data, lost entirely to the shutdown, would never be collected, leaving
Dec 12, 2025 · 6 min read
By Friday, two days after the Fed’s third rate cut of the year, institutional desks were still unwinding positions built on a bet that had been wrong twice in a row — first that December’s cut was uncertain when it turned out closer to inevitable, then that the cut itself would read as unambiguously
Dec 10, 2025 · 5 min read
Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate another quarter point, to 3.50-3.75 percent — the third cut in four months — but the vote count told the real story: three dissents, the most since 2019, split across every possible direction a committee can disagree.
Dec 5, 2025 · 6 min read
By the first Friday of December, the naval buildup off Venezuela’s coast had been running for three months without a single tanker seizure — but the infrastructure for one was fully assembled: warships, aircraft, and a Treasury sanctions list already targeting the nearly 400-vessel shadow fleet that
Dec 1, 2025 · 6 min read
Monday, the Federal Reserve quietly did something it had announced weeks earlier and almost nobody outside bond desks noticed: it stopped shrinking its balance sheet, ending more than three years of quantitative tightening that had pulled over $2.5 trillion out of the financial system since 2022.
Nov 27, 2025 · 6 min read
Thursday, American shoppers spent a record $6.4 billion online on Thanksgiving Day itself, up more than 5 percent from a year earlier — a number retailers and analysts alike treated as an unambiguous win, the first data point in what would become the biggest online holiday shopping period ever recor
Nov 12, 2025 · 5 min read
Wednesday night, Trump signed the bill ending the longest government shutdown in American history — 43 days, resolved only after eight Senate Democrats broke ranks to advance a funding measure that gave Republicans almost everything they wanted and Democrats almost nothing they’d shut the government
Oct 29, 2025 · 5 min read
Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate a quarter point to 3.75-4.00 percent — its second cut of the year, and the first time since the Fed’s rate-setting committee was created in the 1930s that officials set monetary policy missing an entire month of government employment data.
Oct 20, 2025 · 6 min read
Monday, gold gave back some of the most extraordinary run in its modern history — up more than 50 percent for the year, a pace that outstrips the aftermath of September 11, the 2008 financial crisis, and the pandemic combined, before pulling back more than 3 percent in a single session, its steepest
Oct 10, 2025 · 6 min read
Friday morning, the S&P 500 sat two points from a record high. By market close, $2 trillion in equity value had evaporated — triggered not by an economic report or a war, but by a single social media post accusing China of trying to hold the world “captive” with its rare earth supply.
Oct 8, 2025 · 6 min read
One week into the shutdown, the National Economic Council’s own director put a number on the damage: roughly $15 billion lost per week, according to Kevin Hassett, an estimate his own administration would spend the following weeks trying to reconcile with its insistence that the shutdown was Democra